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It's been said a bunch of times here, but there's 2 main reasons to change belts, or most things made of rubber on the bike. Mileage or age. Your tires may only 5000 miles on them, but if they are 16 years old (as an example) would you trust them?

From the front cover of the Gates Timing Belt Replacement Guide:

Avoid Costly Engine Damage;
Change Your Timing Belt At
The Recommended Interval
Or Every 72 Months,
Which Ever Comes First.

http://www.gates.com/common/downloads/files/Gates/TimingBeltReplacementGuide.pdf

Bunch of stuff on the web including this quote from Carscope:

"The old standard interval for timing belt replacement was every 60,000 miles. Even if you don't drive much, you should replace it every 6 years because age and dry rot will weaken it just as much as mileage and use."

It's very cheap insurance that lasts a long time..
 
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